Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.000671 0.000769 0.000872 0.000990 0.001119 0.001258 0.001416
2025-04-13 0.000510 0.000642 0.000792 0.000975 0.001188 0.001429 0.001720
2025-04-20 0.000441 0.000592 0.000771 0.000997 0.001272 0.001592 0.001991
2025-04-27 0.000386 0.000548 0.000749 0.001012 0.001342 0.001738 0.002244
2025-05-04 0.000332 0.000498 0.000711 0.001000 0.001374 0.001833 0.002432
2025-05-11 0.000285 0.000450 0.000671 0.000980 0.001390 0.001905 0.002591
2025-05-18 0.000257 0.000426 0.000659 0.000993 0.001446 0.002028 0.002815
2025-05-25 0.000231 0.000401 0.000642 0.000997 0.001489 0.002132 0.003016
2025-06-01 0.000198 0.000361 0.000602 0.000965 0.001481 0.002167 0.003126
2025-06-08 0.000170 0.000327 0.000565 0.000935 0.001472 0.002200 0.003233
2025-06-15 0.000153 0.000307 0.000549 0.000933 0.001501 0.002282 0.003405
2025-06-22 0.000138 0.000289 0.000534 0.000931 0.001530 0.002365 0.003579
2025-06-29 0.000122 0.000269 0.000515 0.000923 0.001548 0.002434 0.003738
2025-07-06 0.000107 0.000248 0.000491 0.000906 0.001553 0.002484 0.003870
2025-07-13 0.000100 0.000242 0.000493 0.000927 0.001616 0.002617 0.004123
2025-07-20 0.000093 0.000234 0.000490 0.000941 0.001668 0.002735 0.004355
2025-07-27 0.000083 0.000219 0.000472 0.000930 0.001680 0.002794 0.004504
2025-08-03 0.000072 0.000202 0.000451 0.000911 0.001677 0.002832 0.004622
2025-08-10 0.000067 0.000195 0.000448 0.000923 0.001725 0.002945 0.004851
2025-08-17 0.000061 0.000186 0.000440 0.000927 0.001758 0.003037 0.005050
2025-08-24 0.000052 0.000169 0.000415 0.000897 0.001735 0.003042 0.005120
2025-08-31 0.000045 0.000154 0.000391 0.000869 0.001714 0.003048 0.005192
2025-09-07 0.000040 0.000146 0.000382 0.000866 0.001735 0.003120 0.005363